Election 2022: analysis by Emory experts |  Emory University |  Atlanta Georgia

Election 2022: analysis by Emory experts | Emory University | Atlanta Georgia

In the months leading up to the Nov. 8 election, Emory experts provided commentary on a wide range of topics – including polls, voting behavior, health care policy, gender and politics, and race and politics, among others – for international, national and local media markets.

Earlier this week, Emory political science professors Alan Abramowitz and Bernard Fraga gave an on-campus briefing for the US State Department. Foreign press centers. An international group of about 20 foreign correspondents traveled to Emory’s Convocation Hall for the Nov. 7 event, where Abramowitz and Fraga shared their views on local and state politics, the impact of the Georgian election nationwide and efforts to protect voters’ rights and ballots.

On Thursday, November 10, Candler School of Theology’s James T. and Berta R. Laney Legacy in Moral Leadership will host a panel of scholars and experts on campus to discuss the midterm election results. This event is free and open to the public, with prior registration obligatory.

The Future of American Democracy: Post-Election Reflectionswill be hosted by Bill Nigut, executive producer and host of Georgia Public Broadcasting’s “Political Rewind.” Panelists include Andra Gillespie, associate professor of political science at Emory; Eric Tanenblatt, Global Chair of Public Policy and Regulation at Dentons; and DeKalb County CEO Michael Thurmond.

Views from Emory political scientists

Dowe Pearl is Asa Griggs Candler Professor of Political Science at Oxford College and Emory College.

Her research focuses on African American political behavior, gender and politics, and African American political leadership. More recently, she has focused on political ambition and public leadership among African American women.

“A necessary talking point moving forward is the challenge black women face running for office across the state,” Dowe said the morning after the election. “Black women’s voting strength and ability to mobilize voters has been lauded, but these same women as candidates are often not supported or viewed as viable candidates.

“During this election cycle, black women candidates ticked the boxes in the areas needed for statewide success, raised record campaign funds, had name recognition and previous experience in leadership matters. But these factors have still not transcended victory. Looking at exit poll data, there is still a heavily racialized vote. Unfortunately, black candidates are not considered an option by many white voters. For black women voters and politicians, this fact will likely influence when and how black women use their political power in the future.

Bernard L. Fraga, an associate professor of political science, studies American electoral politics, racial and ethnic politics, and political behavior. It conducted statistical analysis of voter registration records and election results. Broadly, it studies how group identities and electoral contexts impact individual political behavior.

“The ‘red wave’ predicted by pollsters and experts was more of a ripple. Although it looks like Republicans will claim a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, in many high-profile contests voters have stuck with incumbents or punished Republican candidates who were closely aligned with the former President Trump,” Fraga noted.

Here in Georgia, “Stacey Abrams and other Democrats running for statewide office had a lower vote share than 2018, despite turnout likely to be similar,” Fraga said. Wednesday morning. “The only exception for Democrats is Senator Raphael Warnock, who significantly outperformed other Democrats in the state, likely due to split tickets by Republicans who voted for Governor Kemp but were unable to support Governor Kemp. Republican candidate for the United States Senate, Herschel Walker. That said, Walker has probably done well enough to force Warnock to a runoff election to be held on December 6.

Editor’s note: With all precincts now reporting, Georgia’s U.S. Senate seat will be decided by a Dec. 6 runoff election between incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock, a Democrat, and Herschel Walker, a Republican.

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